Research

Working Papers

The emission-inequality nexus across stages of development (joint with E. Palagi, T. Perniola) Paper link: https://www.lem.sssup.it/WPLem/files/2025-04.pdf

A complex system perspective on the economics of climate change, boundless risk, and rapid decarbonization (joint with G. Dosi, A. Roventini) Paper link: https://www.lem.sssup.it/WPLem/files/2025-16.pdf

Publications

Energy price shocks in the European Union: Macroeconomic impacts, distributional effects and policy responses (joint with E. Kremer, S. Reissl, L. Fierro, J. Emmerling, A. Roventini) DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108979

The DSK stock-flow consistent agent-based integrated assessment model (joint with S. Reissl, L. Fierro, A. Roventini) DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108641

The power of bridging decision scales: Model coupling for advanced climate policy analysis (joint with T. Filatova, J. Akkerman, F. Bosello, T. Chatzivasileiadis, I. Cortés Arbués, A. Ghorbani, O. Ivanova, N. Knittel, J. Kwakkel, N. Magliocca, G. Marangoni, S. Nabernegg, A. Pichler, A. Poujon, K. Safarzynska, A. Taberna, M. van Sluisveld, L. Verbeek, T. Wei) DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2411592122

Tackling emissions and inequality: policy insights from an agent-based model (joint with G. Ravaioli, A. Roventini, T. Domingos) DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107188

Raided by the storm: How three decades of thunderstorms shaped US incomes and wages (joint with M. Coronese, F. Crippa, F. Chiaromonte, A. Roventini) DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103074

The public use of early-stage scientific advances in carbon dioxide removal: a science-technology-policy-media perspective (joint with G. Tripodi, F. Lillo, R. Mavilia, A. Mina, F. Chiaromonte)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad7479

Believe me when I say green! Heterogeneous expectations and climate policy uncertainty (joint with E. Campiglio, R. Terranova)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104900

Modelling induced innovation for the low-carbon energy transition: a menu of options (joint with R. Pasqualino, Ben Hinder, Y. Melekh, L. Anadon Diaz, C. Penasco, S. Kolesnikov, S. Hafner, S. Sharpe, P. Barbrook-Johnson, F. Senra De Moura, T. M. Lenton, M. Grubb)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad4c79

Energy efficiency policies in an agent-based macroeconomic model (joint with M. Amendola, A. Roventini, A. Sapio)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2023.10.003

Driving sustainability transitions through financial tipping points (joint with N. Ameli, H. Chenet, M. Falkenberg, S. Kothari, J. Rickman)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1750

AgriLOVE: agriculture, land-use and technical change in an evolutionary, agent-based model (joint with M. Coronese, M. Occelli, A. Roventini)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2023.107756

Mission-oriented policies and the “Entrepreneurial State” at work: An agent-based exploration (joint with G. Dosi, M. Mazzucato, M. Napoletano, A. Roventini)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2023.104650

On the employment and health impact of the COVID-19 shock on Italian regions: a value chain approach (joint with T. Ferraresi, L. Ghezzi, F. Vanni, A. Caiani, M. Guerini, A. Roventini)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2023.2189508

A regional input-output model of the COVID-19 crisis in Italy: decomposing demand and supply factors (joint with S. Reissl, A. Caiani, T. Ferraresi, L. Ghezzi)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2023.2213394

Climate change and the nonlinear impact of precipitation anomalies on income inequality (joint with E. Palagi, M. Coronese, A. Roventini)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2203595119

Beyond climate economics orthodoxy: impacts and policies in the agent-based integrated-assessment DSK model (joint with A. Roventini)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4337/ejeep.2022.0096

Automated and distributed statistical analysis of economic agent-based models (joint with A. Vandin, D. Giachini, F. Chiaromonte)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2022.104458

Assessing the economic effects of lockdowns in Italy: a dynamic input-output approach (joint with S. Reissl, A. Caiani, M. Guerini, F. Vanni, G. Fagiolo, A. Roventini)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtac003

Unconventional monetary policies in an agent-based model with mark-to-market standards (joint with M. Guerini, M. Napoletano, A. Roventini, T. Treibich)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s43253-022-00065-8

Three green financial policies to address climate risks (joint with V. Bosetti, A. Roventini, M. Tavoni, T. Treibich)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2021.100875

Reply to Geiger and Stomper: On capital intensity and observed increases in the economic damages of extreme natural disasters (joint with M. Coronese, K. Keller, F. Chiaromonte, A. Roventini)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1922722117

Climate change and green transitions in an agent-based integrated assessment model (joint with G. Dosi, M. Napoletano, A. Roventini, A. Sapio)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119806

The green transition: public policy, finance and the role of the State (joint with M. Mazzucato, A. Roventini, G. Semieniuk)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3790/vjh.88.2.73

The public costs of climate-induced financial instability (joint with V. Bosetti, A. Roventini, M. Tavoni)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0607-5

Evidence for sharp increase in the economic damages of extreme natural disasters (joint with M. Coronese, K. Keller, F. Chiaromonte, A. Roventini)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1907826116

Do science parks sustain or trigger innovation? Empirical evidence from Italy (joint with N. Corrocher, R. Mavilia)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2019.07.005

Does the position in the inter-sectoral knowledge space affect the international competitiveness of industries? (joint with F. Malerba, R. Mavilia, G. Tripodi)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10438599.2019.1633113

Green transitions and the prevention of environmental disasters: market-based vs. command-and-control policies (joint with M. Napoletano, A. Roventini)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1365100518001001

Unconventional Monetary Policy in the USA and in Europe (joint with M. Guerini, A. Mazzocchetti)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-18103-1_3

Validation of agent-based models in economics and finance (joint with G. Fagiolo, M. Guerini, A. Moneta, A. Roventini)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-70766-2_31

Towards agent-based integrated assessment models: examples, challenges, and future developments (joint with A. Mandel, M. Napoletano, A. Sapio, A. Roventini, T. Balint, I. Khorenzhenko)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1287-9

Climate Risks, Economics and Finance: Insights from Complex Systems (joint with I. Monasterolo, A. Roventini)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-00725-6_6

Faraway, so close: coupled climate and economic dynamics in an agent-based integrated assessment model (joint with G. Dosi, M. Napoletano, A. Roventini, A. Sapio)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.03.023

Agent-based model calibration using machine learning surrogates (joint with A. Roventini, A. Sani)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2018.03.011

Empirical validation of simulated models through the GSL-div: an illustrative application
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11403-017-0206-3

Positive tipping points in a rapidly warming world (joint with J. D. Tàbara, N. Frantzeskaki, K. Hölscher, S. Pedde, K. Kok, J. H. Christensen, J. Jager, P. Berry)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2018.01.012

Going up and down: Rethinking the empirics of growth in the developing and newly industrialized world (joint with C. E. Mattei)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00191-018-0551-y

Unconventional monetary policy: between the past and future of monetary economics (joint with M. Guerini, A. Mazzocchetti)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4337/ejeep.2018.0036

An information theoretic criterion for empirical validation of simulation models
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosta.2017.01.006

Complexity and the economics of climate change: a survey and a look forward (joint with T. Balint, A. Mandel, M. Napoletano, A. Roventini, A. Sapio)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2017.03.032

The role of Science Parks: a puzzle of growth, innovation and R&D investments (joint with R. Mavilia, S. Castellini)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10961-015-9455-2

Looking for best performers: a pilot study towards the evaluation of science parks (joint with M. Ferrara, R. Mavilia)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-015-1804-2

Persistence of innovation and knowledge flows in Africa: an empirical investigation (joint with R. Mavilia, M. Giometti)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/2157930X.2016.1196547

The impact of technopoles and science parks on the regional and local innovation systems (joint with M. Ferrara, R. Mavilia)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.14505/despag.2014.ch3